C. What is the Effect of the Fossil Fuel Component of Atmospheric CO2?
The IPCC provides four different scenario’s. The first one used in the plots set forth in Table 5is based on “business as usual” RCP8.5. The other scenarios deal with eliminating some of the CO2 from fossil fuels. The RPC2.6 is the most aggressive and proposing eliminating about 70% of all fossil fuels, RCP4.5 eliminates 45% of the fossil fuels, RCP6 is elimination 25%. The table below comparing the four scenarios using their IPCC information with formula from the Historical Observations, and assuming the CO2 concentration is as shown by the IPCC projections. Table 5 shows that the IPCC’s projected temperature anomaly was considerably higher than the Historical Observation formula in all cases except where 70% of the fossil fuels are eliminated..
The The IPCC did not present evidence or data of a provable connection between CO2 from fossil fuels and CO2 from all other sources (oceans, biology, etc). The IPCC assumes that all increases in the CO2 in the atmosphere is attributed to fossil fuels. It contends that fossil fuels emissions are the only new source of CO2 and therefore any increase in atmospheric CO2 must be from fossil fuels. This is an incorrect assumption. As shown with Boyles Law, the solubility of CO2 in ocean water goes down with increasing temperature. This is discussed in more detail in Question X, Item X. Calculations have shown that more “added” CO2 is released (200GtC) by the ocean in the last 33 years than by fossil fuel burning (130GTC). There is an increase in biology related to temperature increases and biology has an enormous effect on “added” CO2. [Keeling curve] The IPCC has admitted that temperature increases causes the CO2 to increase and not the other way around. See discussion in more detail in Question X Item X. Hence, ignoring “added” CO2 from oceans and from biology, is contrary to known scientific principles.
IPCC Did not Address Anthropogenic CO2 Absorption. The IPCC discloses that 98.48% of all CO2 that enters the atmosphere is scrubbed out each year. Yet, they assume that all CO2 that enters the atmosphere via fossil fuels, stays in the atmosphere. Applying a scrubbing reduction to the amount of CO2 that accumulates via fossil fuel burning dramatically reduces its effect. The net effect is that the amount of CO2 from fossil fuels is only 1.5% of the total increase in CO2 in the atmosphere. Using the formula for the IPCC projection as reduced by a 98.48% scrubbing factor, would show essentially no measurable change in the temperature applicable to fossil fuels.