C. Third Predictions were that CO2 will cause Crime, Mental Diseases, Coronavirus, and Turmoil.

The following are reported cataclysmic projections that CO2 related climate change is connected to the end of the world, autism, ADAD, crime, depression, and social, economic and political unrest.  

1969* Stanford biologist Paul Ehrlich in a 1969 essay titled “Eco-Catastrophe!”  “Most of the people who are going to die in the greatest cataclysm in the history of man have already been born,…”  “By…[1975] some experts feel that food shortages will have escalated the present level of world hunger and starvation into famines of unbelievable proportions.” 

Comment:  There have been no measurable world-wide food shortages, famines or mass starvations.  The agricultural output of the world has increased during this period.

1969-08-10.  New York Times in an article quoted Dr. Ehrlich of Stanford University that “..everybody will disappear in a cloud of blue steam in 20 years.” 

Comment:  This biologist’s predictions have  been repeatedly  published.  

1970*– Harvard biologist George Wald estimated that “civilization will end within 15 or 30 years unless immediate action is taken against problems facing mankind.”  

Comment:  The civilization did not end in 2000.  This prediction was never supported by any credible facts.  It is unfortunate that George Wald made such a statement, since he received the Nobel Prize in Physiology in 1967.  Many people believe Nobel Prize recipients are knowledgeable.  As such care must be taken by such individuals not to prophesize an upcoming end to civilization. 

1970* – Denis Hayes, the chief organizer for Earth Day, in a spring 1970 issue of The Living Wilderness declared “It is already too late to avoid mass starvation,..” 

Comment:  Fifty years later there has been no mass starvation.  In fact agricultural output of the world has increased. Denis Hayes was selected by Democrat Gaylord Nelson to start the Earth Day project.

1970* – Peter Gunter, a North Texas State University professor said that by the year 2000 the entire world, with the exception of Western Europe, North America, and Australia, will be in famine.”  97% of Experts Agreed that we would all be starving by the Year 2000. 

Comment:  The year 2000 has come and gone and there was no measurable famine.  The agricultural output of the world increased during this period.  Claiming that 97% of the experts agreed is not based on facts.  It is propaganda repeated so often that it has its own name “Appeal to Authority Fallacy.”  This fallacy is most often used to shut down dissent.

1970-01* – Life Magazine reported, “In a decade, urban dwellers will have to wear gas masks to survive air pollution…by 1985 air pollution will have reduced the amount of sunlight reaching earth by one half….”

Comment:  This did not happen, nor was there any credible evidence to support the position.  This appears to be media sensationalism directed to increase sales.

1970-04   Paul Ehrlick declared in the April 1970 edition of Mademoiselle, “The death rate will increase until at least 100-200 million people per year will be starving to death during the next ten years.”  He further stated that between 1980 and 1989, some 4 billion people, including 65 million Americans, would perish in the “Great Die-Off.”

Comment:  This biologist’s predictions have been repeatedly outrageous as well as wrong.  It suggests that the media may be hyping the “end of the world” proclamations to increase sales.

1970-05   Paul Ehrlich warned in May 1970 of Audubon magazine that American’s born after 1946 would have a life expectancy of 49 years and by 1980 it will go down to 42 years. 

Comment:  This biologist’s predictions have been repeatedly outrageous as well as wrong. 

1970*  Sen. Gaylord Nelson, D-Wisc., – often considered the “father of Earth Day” and secretary of the Smithsonian.  He stated that by 1995 (25 years), “somewhere between 75 and 80 percent of all the species of living animals will be extinct.

Comment:   Politicians are often wrong.  There is no evidence of a mass animal extinction.

1974-12-29*   New York Times reported that the most optimistic experts would assign near certainty to major crop failure in a decade.  If policy makers do not account for this oncoming doom, “mass deaths by starvation and probably in anarchy and violence” will result.

Comment:  The prediction of “major crop failure” by the “most optimistic experts” did not happen.   The opposite has occurred with enhanced agriculture output.  These statements appear to be more associated with media hype in order to sell for subscriptions rather than science.

 1975*  Paul Ehrlich of Stanford predicted that “since more than nine-tenths of the original tropical rainforests will be removed in most areas within the next 30 years or so, it is expected that half of the organisms in these areas will vanish with it.” 

Comment:  Here we go again. 

1980   Dr. Thomas Lovejoy, a biologist and Senior Fellow at the United Nations Foundation, was quoted in Conservation Biology that in 40 years hundreds of thousands of species will perish and a reduction of 10 to 20 percent of the Earth’s biota will disappear in 40 years.

Comment:  Dr. Lovejoy’s predictions did not happen and in fact the opposite has occurred.  The increased CO2 has increased the biota by 15 to 20% during this period as documented by satellite photos. 

 1991-1-23  The Baltimore sun reported that Carl Sagan stated that if Saddam Hussein set the Kuwaiti oil wells on fire that it would disrupt agriculture across south Asia and darken the skies around the world. 

Comment:  Saddam Hussein did set the oil fields on fire and there was no measurable effect on the environment outside of the oil fields. 

 2010-5-6   the Royal Australian and New Zealand Collage of Psychiatrists reported that Climate Change is related to Obsessive Compulsive Disorders. 

Comment:  This group reported that climate change related obsessions were identified in 28% of patients with compulsive disorders. 

 2013-5-1   The Climate Mama website reported a connection between autism and ADHD and climate change. 

Comment:  There is a lack of evidence cited.  Autism and ADHD has likely been around as long as humans have walked the earth.  Martin Luther reported autistic behaviors in the 16th century.  

 2015   A study of mental health effects caused by climate change was published in the Indian Journal of Occupational & Environmental Medicine. 2015 Jan-Apr 19(1):3-7.   The authors blamed increased crime, aggression, suicides, depression and mental health on CO2 from fossil fuels causing global warming. 

Comment:  Crime has been in existence from the beginning of humankind.  Murder occurred when Caine killed Able, and it is doubtful that climate change was the cause.  Depression may have caused Eve to entice Adam to take a bite of the forbidden apple.  Suicides, depression and mental health have been around long before the automobile.  These events are expected to increase with rising population.  

 2015   A study of mental health effects caused by climate change was published in the Indian Journal of Occupational & Environmental Medicine. 2015 Jan-Apr 19(1):3-7.   The authors blamed increased crime, aggression, suicides, depression and mental health on CO2 from fossil fuels causing global warming. 

Comment:  Crime has been in existence from the beginning of humankind.  Murder occurred when Caine killed Able, and it is doubtful that climate change was the cause.  Depression may have caused Eve to entice Adam to take a bite of the forbidden apple.  Suicides, depression and mental health have been around long before the automobile.  These events are natural traits of the human beings and are expected to increase with rising population.  

2018-05  The National Bureau of Economic Research published a working paper (w24639) claiming to show that climate change “heat” reduces the students learning ability.  In Figure 1 the authors plotted annual temperatures at numerous locations on the X-axis and standard math scores on the Y-axis and concluded that the higher the temperature lowers the math score. 

Comment:  The scatter of points in Figure 1 was so widespread that serious questions are apparent when the authors drew a straight line through mass of non-uniform diverse data.  For example out of 94 points the line only went through two points with other 89 points widely spread out over much of the chart.   Figure 2 showed a higher than normal number of test scores selected from Alabama.  There is no base line, i.e. it does not appear that a statistical representative number of the same students were tested at different temperatures.  For example, how did John do at temperature 1, at temperature 2, and so forth for a statistically valid number of random students.  The analysis also ignored most of the obvious variables, such as socioeconomic, racial, age, I.Q., English proficiency, health, etc.  Attempting to blame climate change as affecting the ability of a student to learn is in need of far more reliable data. 

2019-11  The International Summit on Psychology and Global Healing describes itself as a climate change advocate organization.  They have proposed resolutions that individuals who question climate change have “psychological, social, economic, and political” mental problems. 

Comment:  The organization admits that it “advocates” global climate change goals. The definition of advocate means to rigorously present arguments and evidence supporting a particular point of view.  They do not submit or assert opposition or weaknesses in their position.  By definition, advocates are biased. 

 2020-2-6  Virginia Public Radio reported that Dr. Luis Escobar stated that climate change may be causing coronavirus to spread faster and that higher humidity allows the virus to survive longer so as to facilitate transmission. [https://www.wvtf.org/post/coronavirus-and-climate-change#stream/0]

Comment:  Higher humidity locations near the equator are not where the flu type viruses start or propagate.  Droplets from a cough falls to the ground much faster when the air is humid and warm making virus transmission harder says Dr. Elizabeth McGraw, Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics at Pennsylvania State University. 

 Flu and cold viruses peak in the winter months of low humidity and die out in the spring and summer months.  The flue map of the United States is illustrative.  In 2019 the flu started in Nevada, Louisiana, Mississippi and Kentucky.  Nevada is one of the lowest humidity states.  In 2018 it started in Massachusetts and North Dakota (another low humidity state).  In 2017 it was Colorado and Georgia.  This sporadic pattern indicates that temperature, humidity, and population are not the triggers.  The trigger is where someone carrying the virus infects others.  Attempting to blame it on climate change indicates a bias.

 Dr. Escobar is a member of and co-author the 2019 report on Climate Change and “ensuring that the health of a child born today is not defined by a changing climate.” [www.thelancet.com (November 13, 2019) https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(19)32596-6%5D

ThThe asterisk next the the various dates indicates that the source of the information was from https://backroombuzz.com/100-astonishingly-wrong-climate-change-predictions/